A time-line of the Asian MiracleWorld News | Politics | History | Editor(Copyright © 2011 Piero Scaruffi) |
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1945: Tata Motors is established in Mumbai to build locomotives for India 1946: Akio Morita and Masaru Ibuka found Tokyo Tsushin Kogyo (later Sony) in Japan 1947: Hyundai in South Korea 1947: Koo In-Hwoi founds the plastic manufacturing company Lak-Hui (later LG) in South Korea 1948: HC Ting leaves China and founds the plastic factory Kader Industrial Company in Hong Kong 1948: Soichiro Honda founds a motorcycle manufacturing company in Japan 1949: Japan's MITI as an architect of industrial policy 1949: The trading firm Li & Fung moves its headquarters from mainland China to Hong Kong under manager Fung Hon-chu 1950: Li Ka-shing founds the plastic factory Cheung Kong in he British colony of Hong Kong 1952: Mohan Mittal founds a steel business (later Ispat) in Kolkata, India 1953: Korea is partitioned between South and North 1953: Taiichi Ohno invents "lean manufacturing" at Japan's Toyota 1954: Sony's transistor radio 1954: Japan's Fujitsu enters the computer market 1956: Nand Kishore Ruia founds the iron-ore export company Essar in Chennai, India 1957: Mao's "Great Leap Forward" in China 1957: Indonesian students are invited by the Ford Foundation to study Economics at UC Berkeley in California (the "Berkeley mafia") 1958: The USA forces Taiwan's regime to abandon plans to recover the mainland and focus on economic development 1959: Famine in China kills 38 million people in 4 years 1959: Kazuo Inamori founds Kyoto Ceramic (later Kyocera) in Japan 1959: Lee Kuan Yew wins elections in the British colony of Singapore 1959: Japan's Honda is the world's largest motorcycle manufacturer 1959: Japan's Hitachi builds its first transistor computer 1960: Half of South Korea's GDP is due to USA aid 1960: Hayato Ikeda's plan to double Japan's national income by 1970 1961: The general Park Chung-hee seizes power in South Korea 1961: Sony becomes the first Japanese company to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange 1961: Shigeru Sahashi becomes director of the Enterprises Bureau at Japan's MITI 1961: The Economic Development Board in Singapore 1963: Japan's Honda introduces its first car 1964: South Korea launches plan to improve exports 1964: The Shinkansen (bullet train) is inaugurated in Japan 1965: Singapore independent under Lee 1965: Chinese physicist Li Kuo-ting becomes Minister of Economy in Taiwan ("the father of Taiwan's economic miracle") 1966: Taiwan's Ministry of Economy establishes an "Export Processing Zone" (EPZ) in Kaohsiung, whose tenant companies enjoy privileges but must export all their output 1966: Mao's "cultural revolution" in China 1966: The general Suharto seizes power in Indonesia and announces a program of economic reforms designed by the "Berkeley mafia" 1966: LG produces South Korea's first television set 1967: Widjojo Nitisastro, the senior member of the "Berkeley mafia", is appointed Minister of Planning in Indonesia 1967: Kim Woo-chong founds Daewoo in South Korea to export clothing 1968: Singapore's plan to woe foreign multinationals 1968: Japan's Toyota introduces the Corolla in the USA 1969: Samsung-Sanyo Electronics established in South Korea 1969: Japan creates the National Space Development Agency 1969: Texas Instruments, National and Fairchild open plants in Singapore 1969: Shih Ming and Andrew Chiu found Taiwan's first semiconductor company, Unitron 1969: Japan's Seiko introduces the world's first commercial quartz wristwatch 1969: India's Tata appoints Faqir Chand Kohli in charge of computer services 1970: Japan's Sharp and Canon introduce the first pocket calculators 1970: Om Prakash Jindal opens a steel plant at Hisar, India 1971: Unitron's engineer Stan Shih designs Taiwan`s first desktop calculator 1971: Busicom introduces the LE-120A Handy, the first pocket calculator 1972: Indian-born MIT-graduate Narendra Patni founds Data Conversion (later Patni) in the USA with back-office operations in Pune 1973: South Korea's first steel plant 1973: Ichiro Kato's team at Waseda University in Japan unveils the first full-scale anthropomorphic robot in the world, Wabot-1 1973: Japan's Canon introduces the first color photocopier 1973: Taiwan establishes the Industrial Technological Research Institute (ITRI) to develop technologies that can be turned into goods for foreign markets 1974: Japan's Hitachi produces its first IBM-compatible mainframe computer 1974: Hyundai's first ship 1974: Tata obtains a software contract from BUrroughs, the first major software project offsources by the USA to India 1974: Tai-Ming "Terry" Gou founds the plastic factory Foxconn in Taiwan 1975: Azim Premji's Bangalore-based Wipro starts selling the first computer made in India 1976: Hyundai's first car 1976: Stan Shih and his wife Carolyn Yeh found the calculator maker Multitech (later Acer) in Taiwan 1976: Taiwan's EPZs employ 75,000 people, four fifths of whom are female 1977: 57 foreign firms, including IBM, dclose down their Indian plants rather than meet Indian demands for some degree of Indian ownership 1978: Karnataka State's agency Keonics establishes Electronics City in Bangalore, India 1978: Deng launches economic reforms in mainland China 1979: Mainland China sets up a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in Shenzhen to experiment with foreign investment and export manufacturing 1979: Japan's Sony introduces the portable music player Walkman 1980: Taiwan's minister Li Kuo-ting establishes the Hsinchu Science Park 1980: Li Ka-shing buys Hutchinson and becomes the first Chinese to run a Western corporation in Hong Kong 1980: The USA grants mainland China most-favored-nation status, i.e. access to US investors, technology and market 1980: Japan's Sony introduces the double-sided, double-density 3.5" floppy disk 1980: Wipro, to fill a gap after IBM left India, hires Sridhar Mitta who sets up offices in Bangalore to make computers 1980: The largest semiconductor manufacturers in the world are: Texas Instruments, National, Motorola, Philips (Europe), Intel, NEC (Japan), Fairchild, Hitachi (Japan) and Toshiba (Japan) 1980: Japan's Yamaha releases the first digital synthesizer 1980: Malaysia creates the Heavy Industries Corporation of Malaysia Berhad (HICOM) to promote heavy industry 1981: East Asia has the highest poverty rate in the world 1981: Taiwan's Multitech (later Acer) introduces its own computer, the Micro-Professor MPF-I 1981: Narayana Murthy, founds Infosys in Bangalore, India 1981: Mukesh Ambani joins his family's business Reliance in India 1981: Mahathir Mohamad is appointed prime minister of Malaysia 1982: Honda is the first Japanese company to manufacture cars in the USA 1982: Japan's Sony introduces the CD 1983: Japan's Sony releases the first consumer camcorder 1983: The "Berkeley mafia" deregulates Indonesia's economy to attract international capital 1983, Anil Ambani joins his family's business Reliance in India 1983: Japan's Nintendo launches the videogame console Nintendo Entertainment System 1983: Taiwan's Multitech (Acer) introduces one of the earliest IBM-compatible PCs 1984: Fujio Masuoka at Japan's Toshiba invents flash memory 1984: Japanese firms introduce the 256K DRAM chips 1984: Liu Chuanzhi of the Chinese Academy of Sciences founds a privately-run but state-owned company, Legend (later Lenovo), to sell IBM's personal computers in China 1984: Stan Shih of Taiwan's Multitech (Acer) founds the research firm Suntek in Silicon Valley 1984: Mainland China enacts reforms that limit the interference of government officials in the management of companies 1985: Taiwan hires US-based semiconductor-industry executive Morris Chang to run the ITRI 1985: The Plaza Accord devalues the US dollar 1985: Malaysia's Proton manufactures its first car 1986: Malaysia liberalizes its economy 1986: Taiwan's Acer, leveraging its supply-chain optimization strategy, releases the world's second computer based on Intel's 386 microprocessor (one month after Compaq) 1986: The Japanese government founds the Advanced Telecommunications Research Institute International (ATR) 1986: Sunil Mittal founds the telecom company Bharti Telecom Limited in India 1987: The largest semiconductor manufacturers in the world are Japan's NEC, Japan's Toshiba and Japan's Hitachi 1987: ITRI's president Morris Chang founds Taiwan's Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the first independent silicon-chip foundry in the world, to serve the "fabless" companies of the USA 1988: Taiwan's Foxconn opens a pioneering factory in China's experimental city Shenzhen 1988: Barry Lam founds Quanta Computer in Taiwan 1988: Japan's Sony acquires CBS Records 1988: Japan's Fujitsu introduces the world's first fully digital consumer camera 1988: Gautam Adani opens a trading house in India 1989: Japan's Sony acquires Columbia Pictures Entertainment 1989: Singapore's Creative Technology introduces the Sound Blaster card for personal computers 1989: Japan's Mitsubishi purchases the Rockefeller Center in the USA 1989: South Korea is the world's sixth largest manufacturer of consumer electronics 1989: Japan owns half of the world's shipbuilding market 1989: The market capitalization of Japanese companies represents 42% of all stocks in the world and the value of land is the highest in the world 1990: Japanese carmakers have a 28% share of the US market 1990: Matsushita buys the US entertainment conglomerate Universal 1990: China's Lenovo introduces its first homemade computer when the market is dominated by IBM, HP and Compaq 1990: The Japanese stock market crashes, the beginning of a 13-year stagnation 1991: The Indian government sets up the Software Technology Parks of India (STPI) to promote software exports and opens the first park in the Electronics City of Bangalore 1991: Japan's Sony introduces the lithium ion battery, a rechargeable version of the lithium battery 1991: Om Prakash Jindal splits between his children the steel and power conglomerate that he built in India 1991: India abandons socialism and liberalizes its economy 1991: Manmohan Singh is appointed finance minister in India and proceeds to liberalize India's socialist economy 1991: Wipro wins a software contract from a US customer that interacts via the Internet 1992: South Korea's Samsung becomes the largest producer of memory chips in the world 1993: American outsources the management of its credit-card business to its Indian office led by Roman Roy, the first major project of business-process outsourcing to India 1995: The Essar Group run by Nand Kishore Ruia's sons Shashi and Ravi Ruia is an Indian conglomerate that extends from shipping to steel, oil, power and telecommunications 1995: Lakshmi Mittal, the son of Mohan Mittal, founds his own steel business, LNM Group (later Mittal Steel) 1995: South Korean conglomerate LG acquires Zenith 1996: South Korean conglomerate Samsung builds a factory in Texas, one of the largest foreign investments in the history of the USA 1996: Malaysia's Proton purchases British sport car manufacturer Lotus 1996: Malaysia embarks in the construction of the Multimedia Supercorridor 1996: The Petrona Towers of Malaysia become the tallest buildings in the world 1996: Sony introduces the chip FeliCa for RFID technology 1997: The Octopus card in Hong Kong pioneers contact-less credit cards 1997: Cher Wang, the richest woman in Taiwan, founds HTC 1997: Asian financial crisis 1997: Lenovo passes IBM to become China's main vendor of personal computers 1997: Japan's Panasonic introduces the first flat panel television set 1998: Former Shanghai mayor Zhu Rongji is appointed prime minister of Communist China and proceeds to overhaul state-owned companies 1998: South Korea's SaeHan Information Systems introduces the first mass-produced mp3 player, the "MPMan" 1998: Tata introduces India's first passenger car 1998: Gautam Adani buys India's port of Mundra and creates a "special economic zone" of 100 sqkm for his diversified financial empire 1998: South Korea's Samsung introduces the world's first digital television set 1999: Daewoo, the second largest conglomerate in South Korea with interests in about 100 countries, goes bankrupt 1999: Singapore's Creative Technology introduces the Nomad line of digital audio players 1999: Azim Premji is the richest person in India and Wipro has the highest market capitalization in India 1999: Infoseek's engineer Li Yanhong moves to China and co-founds the search engine Baidu 2000: Japan's Sharp introduces the J-SH04, the first mobile phone with a built-in camera 2000: Kyocera acquires the mobile phone operations of Qualcomm 2000: The foundry Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) is founded in Shanghai's Zhangjiang High-Tech Park 2002: There are more than 2,000 startups in Seoul's Teheran Valley, and 69% of them are in IT 2002: Japan and South Korea combined deliver 75% of the world's shipbuilding 2002: South Korea's Samsung is the second semiconductor manufacturer in the world after Intel and Japan's Toshiba is third, passing Texas Instruments 2002: Honda introduces the world's first compact household cogeneration unit 2003: Between 1988 and 2003 high-tech ventures in Beijing's Zhongguancun grew from 527 to more than 12,000 2003: Japan accounts for 21% of all patents awarded worldwide 2003: Asia produces about 40% of the world's IT goods and consumes about 20% of them 2003: Sony introduces the first Blu-ray disc player 2004: "Taipei 101" in Taiwan becomes the tallest building in the world 2004: South Korea's Samsung is the world's largest OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diode) manufacturer, producing 40% of the OLED displays made in the world 2005: The Ambani brothers of India split their business empire 2005: China's Lenovo acquires IBM's personal computer business 2006: Lakshmi Mittal's Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal is world's largest steel-maker 2006: Between 1993 to 2006 the number of new science and engineering PhDs increased by 24% in the USA, by 189% in South Korea, and by more than 1,000% in mainland China 2007: The world's largest vendors of personal computers are HP, Dell, Taiwan's Acer, China's Lenovo and Japan's Toshiba 2008: India's Tata acquires Jaguar 2008: Japan's Sony unveils the world's first OLED tv set, the XEL-1, the world's thinnest tv set at just 3 mm 2009: Anil Ambani and Mukesh Ambani of India are the 6th and 7th richest persons in the world, having built Reliance into a business conglomerate 2009: India's Infosys sets up the largest corporate university in the world at Mysore 2009: Japan's Toyota overtakes General Motors to become the largest car maker in the world Nov 2009: Mainland China is the largest auto market in the world 2010: South Korea's Hyundai-Kia passes Ford to become the fourth automaker in the world after Toyota, General Motors and Volkswagen 2010: South Korea's Samsung introduces the smartphone Galaxy S 2010: India's Bharti Airtel is the 5th largest telecom operator in the world 2010: Lakshmi Mittal is the richest person in Europe 2010: Taiwan's Quanta Computer is the largest manufacturer of notebook computers in the world 2010: Taiwan's HTC introduces the world's first 4G smartphone, the EVO 2010: Quanta Computer is the largest manufacturer of notebook computers in the world 2011: India's exports of goods are double the exports of services (textiles and agricultural products account for less than 20%) 2011: China's foreign exchange reserves are worth $3.2 trillion or 5% of the world's GDP 2012: Taiwan's Acer introduces the world's thinnest notebook, the Aspire S5 |
Analysis
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(Copyright © 2011 Piero Scaruffi) NotesAsian economies managed to progress from starvation in the 1960s to the top tier of development and wealth. In 1981 East Asia had the highest poverty rate in the world, higher than Africa. In 2011 two of the top three economies in the world were from East Asia, and very soon they might have three out of four including the number one.There is no single cultural/political explanation for the Asian miracle because the countries of Asia spanned a broad spectrum of philosophies (Confucian, Shinto, Buddhist, Hindu, Muslim) and of political systems: fascism (South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand), communism (mainland China), socialism (India), democracy (Japan, Hong Kong). There are actually two Asian miracles. The first Asian miracle was low-tech and largely based on cheap labor and loose business regulations. The first Asia miracle relied on a simple business plan: do what the West does but do it cheaper and possibly better. This became an art in itself. It also caused the rapid Westernization of all US allies in Asia (that until World War II had largely held on to their traditions). The second Asian miracle was high-tech and based on improving Western high technology. By this time Asia had become very Westernized and, in particular, democracy had become widespread. The first Asian miracle was largely the consequence of the Cold War between the USA and the Soviet Union. The USA helped the Asian (and Western European) economies develop in order to create stable and strong defenses against the communist world. The USA encouraged trade with its oversea allies, and tolerated that they competed unfairly with US-based manufacturers by keeping their currencies very low. Government intervention was crucial to the development of these economies: they all boomed under the supervision of a benevolent dictatorship that nurtured and guided the private sector. Most of the political leaders of the first boom came not from the aristocracy but from the very poor class. These leaders were interested in copying Western industrial methods but ignored Western economic theory: they used common sense and traditional values. They nonetheless became enlightened leaders who somehow made mostly good choices to turn their starving countries into economic tigers. This is not as unusual as it may sound: Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin were really bad people but didn't do what they did to enrich themselves or start a dynasty. They in fact greatly improved the economies of their respective countries. All the early boomers lacked natural resources. In order to pay for them, they had to focus on exporting. The big open market was the USA. Therefore it was natural that they focused on exporting to the USA. The USA also provided the military protection that helped these countries focus only on the economy. Security was guaranteed and paid for by the USA. What these early boomers had in common was not a cultural or political background but that they were all allies of the USA during the Cold War. The second Asian miracle was largely the consequence of the end of the Cold War. The collapse of the Soviet Union and of its communist block turned the whole world into one colossal capitalist market. The Asian countries applied their learned skills on a larger scale to a larger market. Globalization favored Asian products over the more expensive products from Western Europe and the USA. However, by now Asia had learned sophisticated industrial and business methods, and was not restricted to cheap goods. Its factories had developed into high-tech factories by serving US manufacturers, but the know-how could now be recycled internally to create factories that served Asian manufacturers. Therefore Asia found itself capable of competing with the West in the much more lucrative high-tech field. This second Asian miracle introduced two colossal players. Mainland China simply followed the path of Western imitation that had been tested by the old "tigers". India, however, could also sell a widespread knowledge of the English language and Western-style universities that graduated scores of mathematically-inclined students, two factors which created an opportunity for the service industry. Again, the natural customer was the USA, in this case the booming computer and Internet industry. The USA, again, provided the military protection that helped these economies grow in a world largely at peace. West of Pakistan, Asia was relatively at peace. The real trouble was in the Middle East and East-Central Asia, i.e. in the Islamic world. The USA and its Western allies of NATO were busy maintaining some kind of order there, which also provided for safe trade routes. Even mainland China, that quickly became the USA's main rival on the world stage, relied on trade routes from Africa and the Middle East that were guarded by the mighty military of the USA. There were East Asian countries that did "not" experience that kind of economic boom, and not all of them were enemies of the USA: the Philippines (Catholic, ally), Pakistan (Muslim, ally), Bangladesh (Muslim, neutral), North Korea (Buddhist, enemy), Vietnam (Buddhist, enemy until the late 1990s), Laos (Buddhist, enemy until the late 1990s), Cambodia (Buddhist, enemy until the late 1990s), Mongolia (Buddhist, enemy until the early 1990s). Each of them shared either the cultural or political background with one of the booming economies, but did not experience a similar oom. |