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Articles on the USA published after 2020
Trump's Foreign Policy in a Nutshell - Part 3
Trump's Foreign Policy in a Nutshell - Part 2
Should California Declare Independence?
The Anti-Trump Party is not a Liberal Party
The Trump Scandals
Where we stand with the Trump-Russia investigation
What's in "Vladimir" Trump's tax returns?
Articles on the USA published before 2020

  • (january 2020)

    Trump's Foreign Policy in a Nutshell - Part 3
    Russia just announced the world's first hypersonic missile, the Avangard, capable of avoiding any missile defense of the USA. And China just deployed its first home-built aircraft carrier, the Shandong. Trump's response: pick a fight with a small country in the Middle East. Most of the US public has not heard or quickly forgot the names "Avangard" and "Shandong", but is now very familiar with the name "Qasem Soleimani", a general of Iran who meddled in the affairs of Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen (none of these countries border on the USA, last time we checked).
    North Korea just announced that it will resume nuclear tests and missile tests, including a new strategic weapon. Trump's response: pick a fight with Iran, that years ago suspended nuclear tests and signed a treaty with the USA, Europe, Russia and China allowing international inspectors into its country. Most of the US public didn't have time to absorb the news that North Korea will soon be able to strike the USA with nuclear-armed missiles, but is now very familiar with the fact that this Qasem Soleimani was a "bad man" of Iran (a far-away country that has no way to strike the USA).
    First of all, Trump has a unique ability to elevate a regional trouble-maker to great-power status. North Korea and Iran are suddenly treated like world powers by US media thanks to the attention that Trump devoted to them and to the fact that they routinely outsmart him.
    Secondly, it's useful to remember who started the fight. It was Trump who threatened North Korea with "fire and fury like the world has never seen". North Korea's dictator understood that part well and prepared the country so that it could in turn unleash on the USA "fire and fury like the world has never seen". He may not be the smartest fat boy in the world, but he is not stupid. And it was Trump, in May 2018, who unilaterally decided to withdraw the USA from the nuclear treaty signed by Obama (and Russia, China and the Europeans) with Iran that halted Iran's nuclear program. Every international and US observer agrees that, at that time, Iran was in full compliance with the treaty. Iran's initial reaction was surprisingly responsible: instead of threatening retaliation against the USA, Iran simply tried to keep good relations with the Europeans, i.e. to create a wedge between the USA and the US allies that Trump routinely insults (in other words, a wedge that Trump himself has created). But then, in April 2019, Trump also imposed an international embargo on Iran's exports of its own oil, sanctions that are truly crippling for the Iranian economy. Trump himself called them "maximum pressure". If you exert maximum pressure on someone, you can't expect that someone to simply suffer in silence. Iran began to retaliate against US allies in the region the only way it can: with small-scale attacks (note the word "small") launched by its proxy militias against Saudi Arabia and with rockets that killed a grand total of 1 (one) US citizen in Iraq and maybe (maybe) a total of 20 people across the region. Any mass shooter in the USA has killed more US citizens than all of Qasem Soleimani's militias combined.
    For what it's worth, Qasem Soleimani's Quds Force helped the USA to fight the Taliban in Afghanistan in 2001, and certainly rejoiced when the USA in 2003 ousted Saddam Hussein, the madman who had tried to invade Iran in 1980 and who was oppressing the Shiite majority of Iraq. Suleimani became an enemy of the USA when the USA decided to protect the Mujahedeen Khalq, a group funded by Saddam Hussein considered a terrorist group by Iran. Nonetheless, until recently Qasem Soleimani's Quds Force was working in coordination with the USA in fighting ISIS in Iraq and Syria. (Note: ISIS, just like the Taliban and Al Qaeda, was born with support from Saudi Arabia, which has never been punished for the 2001 attacks in the USA by Al Qaeda and for all the terrorist attacks carried out by ISIS in the world, let alone for many murdered dissident including a US journalist).
    The issue is not whether this Qasem Soleimani was a bad person or not. There are many bad people in the world. It doesn't mean the USA should assassinate all of them. Incidentally, most of the world (including me) thinks that Donald Trump is a bad man, and a very dangerous one. The issue is that this assassination simply continues the US policy of creating more and more conflict with Iran, and this only seems to serve the interests of the Islamic dictatorship of Saudi Arabia and of the rogue prime minister of Israel, not the interests of the people of the USA (See The biggest scam in the Middle East: Israel's war on Iran and Bombing Saudi Arabia: an Act of War or a Moral Duty?).
    The following day, Trump said "We took action last night to stop a war... not to start a war." That statement may become as famous as Bush's "Mission accomplished".
    Putin is certainly happy to see the USA mired (yet again) in a Middle East conflict while he expands Russia's influence in every corner of the world, from Venezuela (where he has strengthened Maduro's regime with no opposition from Trump) to Syria (where Trump has abandoned the US allies to be slaughtered by joint Russian and Turkish aggression). Now that Trump is president, Putin is basically taking an endless victory lap. For mysterious reasons (i'm being sarcastic), Trump's actions always seem to help Russia and hurt the USA. Trump is either incredibly stupid or incredibly corrupt. Or, more likely, both.
    TM, ®, Copyright © 2020 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.
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  • (january 2020)

    Trump's Foreign Policy in a Nutshell - Part 2
    Two months ago i wrote Trump's Foreign Policy in a Nutshell. It didn't take long for some of those predictions to come true. A few days ago Putin announced that Russia now has the first hypersonic missile. It was probably coming anyway, but it is a direct consequence of Trump's withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. It is now perfectly legitimate for Russia and anyone else to develop such missiles. Given that both China and the Europeans are more technologically advanced than Russia, it is just a matter of time before they too will develop the same hypersonic missiles. These are rockets that can hit anywhere in the USA and cannot be stopped by any missile defense system.
    We don't really know why "Vladimir" Trump withdrew from the ABMT. It could be just Mussolini-style bravado. It could be that he followed orders from Putin (as usual). It could be that someone convinced such a gullible incompetent president that the USA needed to test new defense systems without realizing that this simply encouraged the "enemy" to develop better offensive systems. Whatever missile defense the Pentagon was trying to develop, it is now useless against Russian missiles.
    A few days later an Iran-backed Shiite militia organized a mass demonstration against the USA in Baghdad that culminated with the partial occupation of the US embassy. Nobody got killed but the message was clear: "if we want, we can kill the entire staff of the US embassy in Iraq". Since Trump rescinded Obama's treaty with Iran, Iran has been posting one victory after the other, openly challenging the USA anywhere in the Middle East, even shooting down a US spy drone. Now it is flexing its muscles inside Iraq, a country that the USA "liberated" from Saddam Hussein at the cost of one trillion dollars and thousands of lives. Iraq is currently with no government after the resignation of the prime minister, following widespread riots against corruption. It's the ideal time for Iran to influence Iraq's domestic politics. Trump ordered the bombing of this Iran-backed militia which resulted in the death of 24 people. And this offered the perfect pretext for Iran to stir up nationalistic pride among the Iraqi population. Now the USA has a much bigger problem: not only Iran is stirring up trouble all over the Middle East, but now there is a good chance that Iraq will become more aligned with Iran than it ever was in its 5,000-year history.
    A few days later the other pillar of Trump's foreign policy collapsed. Jong-un Kim, the dictator of tiny and poor North Korea, announced live on television that North Korea will "mass-produce nuclear warheads and ballistic missiles". He reiterated that North Korea will resume nuclear and missile tests. It is likely that this year North Korea will test a missile capable of hitting California. Trump was duped by Kim into believing that there was a path to denuclearize North Korea. He is so dumb he might still believe it. North Korea's plan has always been clear and actually widely publicized by North Korea's leaders themselves: become a nuclear power and annex South Korea with its formidable economy (See What North Korea really wants). Then the unified Korea under the Kim dictatorship will be one of the world's most powerful nations. It sounded like a madman's dream when Kim's grandfather was talking about it. Under Trump's watch, this madman's dream has now become a very realistic scenario. North Korea's plan has always been to build nuclear weapons and missiles capable of striking the USA, and lots of both.
    Finally, the crown in "Vladimir" Trump's foreign policy has been the dismantling of the Atlantic alliance. Trump supported Brexit and weakened NATO to the point that the latest NATO meeting, held in Britain itself, was mainly a declaration of "each man for his own". It ended with world leaders making fun of Trump and Trump insulting everybody as usual, convinced that he is a "very stable genius" gifted with "immense wisdom" when everybody treats him like a fool. A video that went viral shows British prime minister Boris Johnson, French president Emmanuel Macron, Canada's prime minister Justin Trudeau and Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte making fun of Trump's childish behavior during the summit. The one who was certainly amused was his master Putin: Russia has never looked so powerful now that NATO is disintegrating.
    TM, ®, Copyright © 2020 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.
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  • January-December 1999

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TM, ®, Copyright © 2015 Piero Scaruffi All rights reserved.